And I think plenty of Republicans see the polling, see Trump isn’t a big-time conservative and wonder, “Why the heck should we nominate this guy?” Trump stuck with him until the polling started to stink. Harry: Why has this chatter started again? I go back to what I wrote on Monday about why Trump fired his campaign manager, Corey Lewandowski. Is he going to visit all those factories and coal country places he’s always talking about? Do they even have enough B-roll of him shaking hands with the hoi polloi to make a decent campaign issues ad? How is this guy going to compete against the Hillary Clinton machine?Ĭlare: Well, this is where the earned media strategy is really tested, right? And as I said on the podcast the other day, I’m honestly befuddled as to what Trump’s general election campaign will look like. (OK, $1.3 million.) As our own Walt Hickey pointed out, the musical “Hamilton” made in two weeks what Trump pulled during May. A very luxurious bottle, the best bottle, I might add.ĭavid: He has a million dollars of cash on hand. But that doesn’t mean you can wave a wand and stuff the genie back into the bottle. Nate: Trump’s had a rough start to the general election, to be kind, and in some ways is confirming anti-Trump Republicans’ worst fears about what sort of candidate he might be. And the news that he can’t be bothered to even raise money must be scaring even a few of his diehards. The campaign Trump has run in the last few weeks seems stunningly unprofessional. So here we are, back to Trump again.ĭavid: On the other hand, it’s not hard to see why delegates might be considering changing their minds. Now that seems like it’s not going to happen. Then after that faded, some people latched onto the idea of a contentious Democratic convention. You know there was all that talk about a contested convention, and it made folks like Nathaniel, Clare, you and me giddy. Harry: I think that’s a great point, David. That was a pretty clear mandate from the voters.ĭavid: I’m a little worried that the media is seizing on these stories because we’re all so desperate for the drama of a floor contest. But Trump won a majority in every contest from New York onward. You could argue the case up through mid-April or so, when he was squeaking by with some pretty narrow pluralities. It’s just that we have Taylor Swift-dating-conspiracy theories to distract ourselves with these days. It’s a bit of a political/moral question, isn’t it? The rule of the people versus the rule of the elites! Is this the 18th century or what?! We’ve been having the same arguments for centuries now. How can delegates change what seemed to be an honest process?Ĭlare: They will be essentially disenfranchising the primary voters, which, if I were a GOP delegate, I would think long and hard about. Whether you like Trump or not, he earned a majority of delegates. Harry: The way this works, in my opinion, is if you can get the voters to agree with this. I’m debating whether it’s on the verge of being a real thing or on the verge of being on the verge of being a real thing. Nate (Silver, editor in chief): I don’t think it’s a real thing yet. This story … surprised me when I finally came back to civilization, let’s say that. Probably not close to a majority, but more than a handful.Ĭlare (Malone, senior political writer): I was at the beach on Friday when all this broke and not checking the internet. Yes, he has his fantasies, but there’s more than just a handful of delegates who are talking about this stuff. Harry (Enten, senior political writer): I think Clare can speak to the seriousness more than I can, but I can say that this isn’t just Kristol spouting off. Is this a real thing, or yet another Bill Kristolline fantasy? Some anti-Trump delegates are hoping to use the convention rules to #dumpTrump, and they’re even hiring lawyers and advisers. David (Firestone, managing editor): Suddenly we’re seeing wildfires on the interstate to Cleveland.
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